Florida State
Men - Women
2011 - 2012 - 2013
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RankNameGradeRating
12  Violah Lagat SR 19:24
16  Colleen Quigley SO 19:27
30  Amanda Winslow SR 19:36
65  Kayleigh Tyerman SR 19:49
139  Linden Hall SO 20:12
167  Jessica Parry SR 20:18
229  Georgia Peel FR 20:26
289  Jennifer Dunn SR 20:34
341  Aubree Worden SO 20:41
397  Carly Thomas FR 20:48
948  Jessica Butler SR 21:30
996  Katherine McMeekin SR 21:34
1,607  Christine Griggs FR 22:13
1,802  Christina Phipps SO 22:25
1,942  Kaitlyn Kelly FR 22:34
2,085  Erika Charlassier SO 22:45
2,380  Shelby Salimone JR 23:05
2,840  Chantelle Brodie FR 23:43
2,904  Erica Boccumini SO 23:50
3,178  Kendall Andrews JR 24:26
3,303  Cora Atkinson FR 24:47
3,316  Jensen Swopes SO 24:49
3,370  Alicia Aldridge JR 25:00
3,389  Brittany Carey FR 25:04
3,458  Mollie Hibbard JR 25:19
3,481  Rachel Walker FR 25:24
3,531  Allyson Pagan JR 25:43
3,535  Alexandra Midgett FR 25:45
3,556  Patterson McDulin FR 25:51
3,575  Hollis Bartlett FR 25:56
3,650  Laura Turner JR 26:24
3,680  Melissa Monroe SO 26:39
3,769  Maggie McIoskey FR 27:46
National Rank #2 of 339
South Region Rank #1 of 47
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 100.0%
Most Likely Finish 2nd at Nationals


National Champion 14.2%
Top 5 at Nationals 73.9%
Top 10 at Nationals 95.4%
Top 20 at Nationals 99.9%


Regional Champion 99.5%
Top 5 in Regional 100.0%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Violah Lagat Colleen Quigley Amanda Winslow Kayleigh Tyerman Linden Hall Jessica Parry Georgia Peel Jennifer Dunn Aubree Worden Carly Thomas Jessica Butler
Notre Dame Invitational (Blue) 09/28 284 19:49 19:30 19:54 19:51 20:12 20:03 20:48 20:29 20:48
FSU Invitational 10/05 1162 20:52 21:01
Queens Royals Challenge 10/12 1205 21:08 21:16
Pre-Nationals Meet (Red) 10/13 170 19:17 19:22 19:32 19:38 20:00 20:24 20:43
Pre-Nationals Meet (Black) 10/13 20:53
ACC Championships 10/27 226 19:15 19:32 19:57 19:34 20:27 20:05 20:25 20:52 20:31 23:10
South Region Championships 11/09 397 19:52 19:57 19:59 20:07 20:15 20:10 20:23
NCAA Championship 11/17 259 19:14 19:14 19:23 19:59 21:07 20:44 20:28





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 100% 4.2 206 14.2 21.9 16.4 12.1 9.3 6.9 6.1 4.0 2.9 1.7 1.5 1.1 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
Region Championship 100% 1.0 28 99.5 0.5



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Violah Lagat 100% 17.8 0.6 1.2 1.6 2.1 2.5 3.2 2.9 3.4 3.6 3.6 3.4 3.7 3.4 3.8 2.9 2.9 2.8 3.0 2.9 2.8 2.0 2.6 2.1 2.0 1.7
Colleen Quigley 100% 21.8 0.3 0.7 1.1 1.4 1.8 1.9 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.8 2.6 2.7 3.2 3.1 3.0 2.5 3.0 3.0 2.4 2.8 2.3 2.2 2.3 2.3 2.3
Amanda Winslow 100% 34.6 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.4 1.2 1.6 1.6 1.8 1.8 1.6 2.0 2.0 1.7 1.9 2.1 2.1 1.7
Kayleigh Tyerman 100% 62.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.8 0.5
Jessica Parry 100% 139.1
Georgia Peel 100% 160.3
Jennifer Dunn 100% 179.9


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Violah Lagat 1.0 48.9 31.8 12.9 4.1 1.4 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Colleen Quigley 1.4 35.6 35.8 17.7 6.8 2.1 0.9 0.7 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
Amanda Winslow 2.6 8.5 17.8 36.7 17.4 9.0 4.2 2.6 1.7 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Kayleigh Tyerman 4.8 0.3 1.9 8.0 23.6 19.4 12.9 9.7 7.5 5.4 3.4 1.9 1.9 1.3 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Jessica Parry 15.0 0.0 0.1 1.0 1.5 2.9 3.5 4.7 5.5 5.7 6.5 6.6 5.8 6.2 6.1 5.4 5.6 4.8 4.5 4.0 3.2 3.0 2.1 1.8
Georgia Peel 19.4 0.1 0.5 0.8 1.4 1.6 2.4 3.0 3.4 4.2 5.0 5.0 4.9 5.2 5.6 4.9 5.5 4.8 4.5 4.7 4.3 3.6
Jennifer Dunn 24.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 1.0 1.1 1.7 2.4 2.2 3.2 3.4 3.8 4.1 4.5 4.3 4.6 5.0 4.8 4.2




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 99.5% 100.0% 99.5 99.5 1
2 0.5% 100.0% 0.5 0.5 2
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47 47
Total 100% 100.0% 99.5 0.5 0.0 100.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Oregon 100.0% 1.0 1.0
Duke 100.0% 1.0 1.0
Michigan 99.9% 1.0 1.0
Georgetown 99.9% 1.0 1.0
New Mexico 98.0% 1.0 1.0
William and Mary 95.3% 1.0 1.0
Notre Dame 95.3% 1.0 1.0
Texas 94.9% 1.0 0.9
Florida 82.7% 1.0 0.8
Villanova 78.2% 1.0 0.8
Boston College 68.1% 1.0 0.7
Colorado 62.3% 1.0 0.6
North Carolina St. 53.9% 1.0 0.5
SMU 23.6% 1.0 0.2
Princeton 14.9% 1.0 0.1
Kentucky 11.2% 1.0 0.1
Northwestern 7.9% 1.0 0.1
North Carolina 2.9% 2.0 0.1
Butler 2.8% 1.0 0.0
Southern Utah 2.6% 1.0 0.0
UC Davis 1.1% 1.0 0.0
Illinois 0.7% 2.0 0.0
Baylor 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Tulsa 0.5% 2.0 0.0
Ohio State 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Texas A&M 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Virginia 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Clemson 0.1% 2.0 0.0
Alabama 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Air Force 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Boise State 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Ohio U. 0.0% 2.0 0.0
Total 12.0
Minimum 8.0
Maximum 18.0